IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sam Houston St.
Southland
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.2	#246
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.4	#52
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#234

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#269

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.5%	11.7%	6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.6	15.2

.500 or above	33.7%	65.4%	31.7%
.500 or above in Conference	62.2%	80.4%	61.1%
Conference Champion	5.8%	12.5%	5.4%
Last Place in Conference	3.9%	1.0%	4.1%

First Four	1.6%	1.4%	1.6%
First Round	5.8%	11.1%	5.4%
Second Round	0.2%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 4	2 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 5	10 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	65	@ SMU	L	65-82	6%
Nov 27, 2020	14	@ Texas Tech	L	62-85	1%
Nov 29, 2020	86	Boise St.	L	71-83	14%
Dec 09, 2020	18	@ Houston	L	62-84	2%
Dec 16, 2020	15	@ Texas	L	60-83	2%
Dec 19, 2020	265	Rice	W	81-77	63%
Dec 21, 2020	231	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	76-80	37%
Jan 02, 2021	234	@ Nicholls St.	L	75-79	38%
Jan 06, 2021	319	@ SE Louisiana	W	81-79	58%
Jan 09, 2021	285	@ Central Arkansas	L	83-84	46%
Jan 13, 2021	236	Lamar	W	76-74	58%
Jan 16, 2021	339	Houston Baptist	W	96-83	86%
Jan 20, 2021	173	Abilene Christian	L	73-75	45%
Jan 27, 2021	303	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	72-71	51%
Jan 30, 2021	136	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	74-84	20%
Feb 06, 2021	234	Nicholls St.	W	78-76	58%
Feb 10, 2021	319	SE Louisiana	W	84-76	75%
Feb 13, 2021	285	Central Arkansas	W	86-81	66%
Feb 17, 2021	236	@ Lamar	L	73-77	38%
Feb 20, 2021	339	@ Houston Baptist	W	93-86	71%
Feb 24, 2021	173	@ Abilene Christian	L	70-78	27%
Mar 03, 2021	303	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	75-69	70%
Mar 06, 2021	136	Stephen F. Austin	L	77-81	37%
Projected Record						10 - 13	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.9	1.7	2.0	0.9	0.2		5.8	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	1.8	3.1	2.4	0.5	0.0			8.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.2	4.2	2.6	0.5	0.0				9.7	3rd
4th									0.1	2.0	4.7	3.1	0.6	0.0					10.6	4th
5th								0.0	1.2	4.6	3.7	0.6	0.0						10.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.9	4.2	4.3	1.0	0.1							10.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	3.1	4.7	1.5	0.1								9.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.4	4.7	1.7	0.1									9.1	8th
9th					0.2	1.8	4.3	2.3	0.3	0.0									8.9	9th
10th				0.1	1.0	3.0	2.2	0.3											6.5	10th
11th			0.1	0.9	2.2	1.7	0.5	0.0											5.4	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0											3.4	12th
13th	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0													1.9	13th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.8	4.6	7.1	9.8	11.4	12.2	12.7	12.0	9.9	7.1	4.6	2.5	0.9	0.2			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
15-1	95.9%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
14-2	78.1%	2.0		1.3	0.6	0.0
13-3	37.3%	1.7		0.6	0.8	0.3	0.0
12-4	12.6%	0.9		0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-5	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0						0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	5.8%	5.8		3.0	1.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%		33.8%	29.5%	4.3%	12.6										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		6.2%
15-1	0.9%		40.5%	39.6%	0.9%	13.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.6		1.4%
14-2	2.5%		39.5%	39.5%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	1.5
13-3	4.6%		27.4%	27.4%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	3.3
12-4	7.1%		19.1%	19.1%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	5.8
11-5	9.9%		11.8%	11.8%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.4	0.7	8.7
10-6	12.0%		5.0%	5.0%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	11.4
9-7	12.7%		2.8%	2.8%		15.9																0.0	0.3	12.3
8-8	12.2%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																0.0	0.2	11.9
7-9	11.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.3
6-10	9.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
5-11	7.1%																							7.1
4-12	4.6%																							4.6
3-13	2.8%																							2.8
2-14	1.4%																							1.4
1-15	0.5%																							0.5
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.5%	6.5%	0.0%	15.1										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	2.1	2.9	93.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%